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Politics Prediction Market Odds

Live politics prediction market odds — elections, policy, and geopolitics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

politics Active

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket
0.1% Yes $10.0M vol
politics Active

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Polymarket
14% Yes $100K vol
politics Active

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
6.3% Yes $100K vol
politics Active

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Polymarket
3.6% Yes $100K vol
politics Active

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket
12% Yes $99K vol
politics Active

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
5.5% Yes $99K vol
politics Active

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Polymarket
6.5% Yes $99K vol
politics Active

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Polymarket
0.8% Yes $98K vol
politics Active

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?

Polymarket
94.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?

Polymarket
2.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
8.3% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

Polymarket
83.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?

Polymarket
83.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Truist fail by end of 2026?

Polymarket
3.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Polymarket
80% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Polymarket
4.7% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket
28% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

Polymarket
56% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?

Polymarket
70% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?

Polymarket
1.6% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?

Polymarket
23% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?

Polymarket
0.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Polymarket
2.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Polymarket
74% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?

Polymarket
94.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?

Polymarket
20.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket
0.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
2.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?

Polymarket
94% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?

Polymarket
48% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Polymarket
38% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Team Vitality Make a Roster Change before September?

Polymarket
5.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Polymarket
0.3% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?

Polymarket
13% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?

Polymarket
90% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
4.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?

Polymarket
0.2% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Petr Yan fight Deiveson Figueiredo next?

Polymarket
0.1% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?

Polymarket
70% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?

Polymarket
23% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Polymarket
95.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
9.5% Yes $10K vol