How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? 6.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?"?

As of April 20, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 6.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	6.5%	93.5%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? — 3% YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? — 8% YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — 10% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?”?

As of April 19, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 6.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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