How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? 0.1%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?

As of August 8, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 0.1%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	0.1%	99.9%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d’Or? — 0% YES
New pandemic in 2026? — 6% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?”?

As of August 07, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 0.1%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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