How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July? 34% — Unlikely

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?"?

As of August 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 34%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	34.0%	66.0%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? — 6% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?”?

As of August 16, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 34.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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