How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? 75%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?"?

As of April 18, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 75%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	75.0%	25.0%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — 1% YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House — 12% YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? — 8% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?”?

As of April 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 75.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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