How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? 13.1%

Q: What are the current odds for "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?"?

As of October 13, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 13.1%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	13.1%	86.9%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? — 95% YES
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? — 60% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?”?

As of October 12, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 13.1%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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