How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? 49.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?"?

As of August 5, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 49.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	49.5%	50.5%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
New pandemic in 2026? — 6% YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? — 3% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?”?

As of August 04, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 49.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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