How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by Mid-2026? 6.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?"?

As of June 16, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 6.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	6.5%	93.5%	$994K	Trade on Polymarket

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? — 1% YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 1% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?”?

As of June 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 6.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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